These are NOT my picks – these are who I think the Academy will choose.

Best Picture and Director: Slumdog – a new low in Oscar history: a game show wins best picture.

Best Actor: Sean Penn -they finally give him one.

Best Actress: Kate Winslet – they like her, and this year’s Holocaust film has to win SOMETHING big.

Best Supporting Actress: Penelope Cruz – it always goes to the hot young babe, at least lately.

Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger – it just has to be.